PROBABILISTIC SHORELINE CHANGE MODELING AND RISK ESTIMATION OF EROSION
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Shoreline Modeling and Erosion Prediction
This paper presents a shoreline-erosion prediction model of Lake Erie that can forecast shoreline changes from annual to 10-year increments. It was developed by using historical bluffline data of years 1973, 1990, 1994, and 2000 at Lake Erie provided by NOAA and local government agencies. The relationships among these historical shorelines are analyzed using a least-squares method. Erosion rate...
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Coastal zone of Sri Lanka is a key to sustainable development of the country. The erosion of country’s coastal zone has been identified as a long standing problem. Therefore, coastal sediment dynamics around the country has to be identified to develop an appropriate coastal zone management plan. Remote sensing and GIS techniques can be used for quantitative and qualitative analyses of coastal p...
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[1] Large storms make it difficult to extract the long-term trend of erosion or accretion from shoreline position data. Here we make storms part of the shoreline change model by means of a storm function. The data determine storm amplitudes and the rate at which the shoreline recovers from storms. Historical shoreline data are temporally sparse, and inclusion of all storms in one model over-fit...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Coastal Engineering Proceedings
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2156-1028,0589-087X
DOI: 10.9753/icce.v36.papers.1